Power Surge The average electricity generation capacity in Nigeria saw a substantial improvement in the third quarter of 2024, according to the latest report released by the Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) on Friday. The data reveals that the average available generation capacity across grid-connected power plants rose by an impressive 16.04%, increasing by 705.13MW from 4,395.77MW in the second quarter to 5,100.90MW in Q3 2024.
Key Metrics at a Glance The report highlighted that the average hourly generation on the grid in Q3 2024 was 4,280.24MWh/h, amounting to a total generation of 9,450.76GWh. This marks a 6.51% rise (+261.67MWh/h) from 4,018.57MWh/h in Q2 2024. Similarly, total electricity generated during the quarter increased by 7.68% (+674.21GWh), from 8,776.55GWh in Q2 to 9,450.76GWh in Q3 2024.
Standout Power Plants Drive Growth Nineteen power plants contributed to this positive trajectory, with significant increases in generation capacities recorded at the following:
- Dadin-Kowa_1: +461.20%
- Olorunsogo_2: +249.48%
- Afam_1: +195.40%
- Olorunsogo_1: +85.28%
- Omotosho_1: +69.27%
However, not all power plants experienced growth. Facilities like Egbin_1 (-26.32%) and Ihovbor_2 (-17.75%) recorded declines in output, indicating areas requiring intervention.
Hydropower Contributions Hydroelectric plants also played a critical role in the overall growth, with Shiroro_1 recording a 50.02% increase and Kainji_1 achieving a 21.86% rise in generation. These improvements reflect better water management practices during the quarter.
Contextual Challenges in the Power Sector In November 2024, the Nigerian National Grid Agency acknowledged persistent challenges in the power sector, citing inadequate infrastructure as a significant barrier to uninterrupted electricity supply. The agency stated via its official X (formerly Twitter) account:
“We have observed numerous messages about both regular and irregular supply. Our generation, transmission, and distribution capacities are nowhere near enough for you to expect uninterrupted power.”
The NERC’s Q2 2024 report had similarly emphasized these structural issues, including limited grid stability and frequent outages. These challenges have fueled public discourse and highlighted the need for systemic reforms.
A Positive Shift in Q3 2024 Despite these challenges, the third-quarter improvement represents a notable positive shift. Enhanced infrastructure, operational efficiencies, and increased generation capacity from grid-connected power plants were pivotal to this progress. The report underscores this advancement, stating:
“The increase in generation during the quarter was primarily due to the increase in the available generation capacities of the grid-connected power plants compared to 2024/Q2.”
Financial Boost from the African Development Bank In July 2024, the African Development Bank Group approved a $500 million loan to Nigeria under the Economic Governance and Energy Transition Support Program (EGET-SP). This funding aims to transform the nation’s electricity infrastructure while promoting access to cleaner energy sources. The financial intervention is expected to accelerate the energy transition and ensure a sustainable power supply in the coming years.
Looking Ahead While the Q3 2024 improvements mark a significant milestone, continued investments and reforms are essential to address lingering challenges in Nigeria’s power sector. The combination of local and international efforts offers a pathway to achieving a more reliable and sustainable electricity supply for the nation.
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